FOUR CARDINAL STARS

Markers of the Great Cycle

- Part One -

Haluk Akcam

Jan. 01, 2004

  

Great Cycle

          

A full precession of the equinoxes is known as the Great Cycle, of about 25,800 years, and regarded mostly in respect to cycle analyses. Precession is the movement of the First Point of Aries backwards along the equator at about 50.3 arcseconds per year, due to the conical motion of the Earth's rotation axis caused mainly by the gravitational pull of the Sun and Moon on the Earth's equatorial bulge. Nutation is the wobble of the Earth's axis while precessing.

It is not a fixed duration, and varies according to the period, which is under consideration. For the present epoch (J2000.0), value of the general precession rate is about 50.288 arcseconds per year, causing one degree retrograde motion of the equinoxes in round 71.6 years, and defining the instantaneous length of the Great Cycle as 25,771 years, accordingly. In tradition, length of the Great Cycle is 25,920 years, with 50.00 arcseconds per year, or one degree in 72 years.

General precession rate is a practical but not a sufficient parameter to obtain numerical values for long-term intervals. This formula may serve as a good approximation to estimate the accumulated precession:

p = 5028.792262 T1 + 1.1124406 T2 + 7.699×10-5 T3 - 2.3479×10-5 T4 - 1.78×10-8 T5 + 1.8×10-10 T6 + 1×10-12 T7

Tn = [ ( t2 - 2000 ) / 100 ]n - [ ( t1 - 2000 ) / 100 ]n

Where t1 and t2, initial and terminal epochs of the interval, are counted as Julian years, to obtain the general precession amount in seconds of arc. The above polynomial is adapted by me after the expressions for precession proposed by Bretagnon et al.[1], which seems to be the best available one at the moment, for calculating the partial accumulated general precession in longitude, for a given interval. Yet, the validity of this formula must be restricted to the period 7635 BC - 12250 AD. Within these limits, the annual precession rate varies between 48.895 and 51.686 arcseconds, which corresponds to 26505 and 25074 years. Therefore, I should remind the reader that since the astronomical simulation programs are not using a better computation, what they claim of accuracy does not have any validity beyond these maximal limits.

Determining the Beginning of a Cycle

With our present knowledge, it is neither possible to give the exact date of the beginning or the end of a precession cycle nor the exact length of a cycle, for remote dates. Yet, we may assign a certain event or chain of events to the beginning of a cycle or a phase, provided that the event is bearing an universal importance. Such attempts have been practiced by some astrologers, by emphasizing the most important event related to their culture, like the birth of a religious figure or the rise of an empire. But, these attempts are mostly subjective in nature, lacking any astronomical support, as the experience shows.

For instance, due to the expand of astrology in western cultures, the birth of Jesus Christ is regarded as a great omen and a mark of the so called Piscean Age (one of the twelve fictitious ages of the precession cycle, named after the twelfth sign of the astrological zodiac), which is supposed to last 2160 years! But, the astronomical background of this assumption is totally void, except the very suspicious legendary triple conjunction of some visible planets or objects, which occurs certainly more than once in two millenniums. On the other hand, for the Far East, the birth of Buddha may seem more important, or the birth of Muhammad for the Muslims. But, the time intervals between the appearance of these religious figures do not support this hypothesis, even if more samples can be introduced.

The idea to divide one precession cycle into twelve equal sequences has its origin in the fictitious division of the zodiac. But, since the zodiac is a belt fitted to the apparent path of the sun, merely known as the ecliptic circle, we simply cannot assign twelve arbitrary sectors without any astronomical verification behind it. Yet, this division has some relevance to the astronomical facts: The two equinoctial points and the two solstices are marking a cross on the ecliptic plane, where each sector can be divided further into three equal parts. But, this secondary division then becomes arbitrary. For instance, anyone else may prefer to divide these sectors into four, or six equal parts, as long as no astronomical relevance is required. Therefore, if an analogy is sought, one precession cycle may be divided into four sequences, but not any more!

On the other hand, fourfold division is useful to understand the implications of this great cycle, and therefore becomes essential in the examination, due to the changing effect of the Sun, when the point of periapsis coincides one of these four points. It is therefore called by the ancients "the four cardinal points" and the related "four cardinal stars", in remote antiquity. But, further arbitrary divisions are only good for producing some speculations, and we do not see any sample of it in the inherited old tradition, which is certainly not soothsaying but merely the foundation of today's astronomy yet for the benefit of mankind.

The coincidental relation between the point of periapsis and the four cardinal points has been examined mostly to predict large scale climatic changes, especially after the theory of Milankovitch. Our subject in this article is not the climatic history of the earth, but the cultural one. For this purpose, one of the remnants of the forgotten faith is selected, namely the four cardinal stars of the ancient lore.

            

Obliquity of the Ecliptic

              

Obliquity of the ecliptic is defined by the angle between the rotational and orbital planes of the Earth. Just like the precession rate, it is not a fixed angle. It is supposed to vary as follows: (t as Julian centuries since J2000.0, and the product is in arcseconds)

e = 84381.4088 - 46.836051 t - 1.667×10-4 t2 + 1.99911×10-3 t3 - 5.23×10-7 t4 - 2.48×10-8 t5 - 3×10-11 t6

Again, this polynomial definition has limits in application: Between 7452 BC (24°14') and 12608 AD (22°36'), it works sufficiently. But beyond these limits, the value is becoming highly deviated. This one is the best expression of the obliquity proposed by Bretagnon [1] among the recent models.

A detailed comparison of the numerical expressions for the precession and the obliquity is discussed in a separate article. Although highly precise for a few millenniums, they are not much of a value for long-term calculations, as the following graphs show the comparison. Each vertical gray time grid interval represents 1000 Julian years. The sinus curve is representing the possible oscillator adapted by applying the numerical expressions of the polynomial.    

Obliquity of the Ecliptic

Yellow curve is according to the polynomial proposed by Bretagnon (2003).

Red curve is the approximated sinusoidal.

                              

General Precession rate

 

Yellow curve is according to the polynomial proposed by Bretagnon (2003).

Red curve is the approximated sinusoidal.

A simple comparison shows that the precession rate proportionally increases when the obliquity decreases, or vice versa. Since the obliquity angle varies between 22.0° and 24.6°, the instantaneous length of the great cycle is estimated round 24500 - 26800 years. The fluctuation period of the obliquity is round 41000 years.

                       

Four Cardinal Stars

                  

According to the tradition, the Great Cycle is marked by four stars located at the cardinal points of the heaven. The first and the famous of these four is Regulus. Then comes the opposing pair Antares and Aldebaran. The fourth is somewhat ill-defined, but supposed to be Fomalhaut. In fact, they are not exactly forming a cross, but throughout the history, they are known as the four royal or cardinal stars.[2][3]

Regulus (a Leonis) gets its name from the note of Copernicus; "in corde quam Basiliscum siue regulum uocant", where he mentioned BasiliskoV of the ancients. Arabs named it as qalb al-asad (heart of the lion), but western astronomers preferred the definition of Copernicus.

Aldebaran (a Tauri) is directly named after the Arabic definition ad-dabaran (follower), which originates probably from the translation of Ptolemy's explanation, where he cites the star next to Hyades (lamproV tvn ¢Uadwn). Anyway, the meaning of the Arabic word is dubious.

Fomalhaut (a Piscis Austrini) is again directly named after the Arabic definition. It is the fam al-hut al-janubi (mouth of the southern fish), an exact translation of the definition of Ptolemy. The name appeared in the history of astronomical literature with variants, but the origin is the same.

Antares (a Scorpionis) is originated from the description of the star as AntarhV (like Mars, in the nature of Mars, but sometimes as rival of Mars). Ptolemy named it as the heart of the scorpion, so did the Arabs (qalb al-aqrab). But the description substituted the name and remained until today.

Here is some astronomical data from reliable recent catalogues:

Name HIP a (arcdeg) d (arcdeg) ma* (mas/yr) md (mas/yr) Vm
Regulus 49669 152.09358075 +11.96719513 -248.7 +5.3 1.360
Aldebaran 21421 68.98000195 +16.50976164 +64.7 -187.2 0.867
Fomalhaut 113368 344.41177323 -29.62183701 +333.2 -163.2 1.166
Antares 80763 247.35194804 -26.43194608 -9.3 -21.8 1.02

Positional data from Hip.Cat. (J1991.25) [4], proper motion data from PMFS [5], and magnitude data from HIC2 [6].

About the rigorous computation of the secular motion of a star, and the conversion of coordinates for long-term intervals, you may find a tabulation of formulas on a separate page, with examples. What is given there is the most accurate method, which complies with the recent theories. It will be wise to follow the rigorous computation instead of approximations, to obtain reliable results. Most of the simulation programs fail to compute the positions with full precision. Therefore, I should warn the reader not to rely on such programs.

Four Stars and the Angular Distances

The ideal configuration, which is expected to verify the hypothesis, is to be an exact rectangular cross-shaped figure on a certain plane, where the four stars are placed on the corners of the cross. But, since the possibility of such an exact configuration is very low, we will first examine the angular distances between these stars to understand the pattern of the configuration.

To demonstrate a contemporaneous sample of the angular distances (u) between these stars, we may apply this spherical equation with the coordinates at the epoch J1991.25, as given above:

cos u = sin d1 sin d2 + cos d1 cos d2 cos ( a1 - a2 )

With ±0.5" error, results are:

ANTARES 99° 56' 17" REGULUS
82° 51' 26" Fom   158° 57' 32"   Reg 80° 07' 54"
Ant   169° 57' 48"   Ald
FOMALHAUT 93° 31' 47" ALDEBARAN

As it is seen above, the positions of the stars are not shaping an exact cross. Sum of all six angles is 685° 22' 43", which is 34° 37' 17" (4.81 %) less than the ideal sum 2 × 360°. The limit for such combinations is 6° per angle, and total limit for six angles is 36° (5 %). Then, we may assume that the combination is hardly within the acceptable limits.

Triple combinations of four stars give these results:

Ald - Reg - Ant

350° 01' 58" - 9° 58' 02" 2.77 % passed
Ald - Reg - Fom 332° 37' 13" - 27° 22' 47" 7.61 % failed
Ald - Ant - Fom 346° 21' 00" - 13° 39' 00" 3.79 % passed
Reg - Ant - Fom 341° 45' 15" - 18° 14' 45" 5.07 % failed
Total 1370° 45' 26" - 69° 14' 34" 4.81 % passed

Binary combinations of four stars give these results:

Ald - Reg 80° 07' 54" - 9° 52' 06" 10.96 % failed
Ald - Ant 169° 57' 48" - 10° 02' 12" 5.58 % failed
Ald - Fom 93° 31' 47" + 3° 31' 47" 3.92 % passed
Reg - Ant 99° 56' 17" + 9° 56' 17" 11.04 % failed
Reg - Fom 158° 57' 32" - 21° 02' 28" 11.69 % failed
Ant - Fom 82° 51' 26" - 7° 08' 34" 7.94 % failed
Total 685° 22' 43" - 34° 37' 17" 4.81 % passed

Binary list is indicating that irregularity caused mostly by the position of Regulus (32.9 %), and of Antares (24.0 %), and Fomalhaut (23.0 %), and Aldebaran (20.0 %). But, triple list indicators are showing that the most unbalanced position has the star Fomalhaut (28.5 %), and then Regulus (26.8 %), and Aldebaran (24.5 %), and Antares (20.1 %). When both combinations are merged, irregularity percentages become like this: Regulus (29.9 %), Fomalhaut (25.8 %), Aldebaran (22.3 %), and Antares (22.1 %).

Four Stars and the Ecliptic Plane

Due to the apparent paths of solar system objects, ecliptic plane becomes more preferable than the equatorial plane. In that case, we may reconsider the positions of the four cardinal stars by projecting them on the ecliptic. (You may find the formulae to convert equatorial parameters to ecliptic reference system on a separate page.) Applying the figures given in the Hipparcos Catalogue as above, we obtain these values for the ecliptic and the epoch of the date J1991.25 (which is April 02, 1991 13:30 UT, if you wish to check the reliability of commercial astrology programs):

Name l (arcdeg) b (arcdeg) Vm Grade
Regulus 149.70747148 +0.46456057 1.360 1.360
Aldebaran 69.66684753 -5.46794245 0.867 0.890
Fomalhaut 333.73701592 -21.13451720 1.166 1.502
Antares 249.64011173 -4.56879252 1.020 1.036

Rightmost column figures named grade are based on the formula G = Vm + 5 ( 1 - cos b ) to estimate the relative value of the star in respect to ecliptic plane, which is introduced by me for the first time in 1992, to evaluate the importance of the stars in astrological applications. The limiting constant 5 is to assign a grade value of 5 to a star with magnitude 0.0 and latitude ±90°, when a similar one with latitude 0° bears the grade value 0. The scale for this evaluation is reverse, i.e. the importance will be lessened as the grade increases. In practical usage, stars with G > 5.0 has no astrological importance. A similar evaluation is to be applied to the individual charts by substituting the ecliptic latitude (b) with the elevation (h) of the star, as well as of any celestial object, which I may explain in another article, some time in the future.

Here are the angular distances based on ecliptic projections, namely the separations between ecliptic longitudes of the stars, disregarding the latitudes (with ±0.5" error):

ANTARES 99° 55' 58" REGULUS
84° 05' 49" Fom   175° 58' 14"   Reg 80° 02' 26"
Ant   179° 58' 24"   Ald
FOMALHAUT 95° 55' 47" ALDEBARAN

According to these figures, sum of all six angles is 715° 56' 37", which is 4° 03' 23" (0.56 %) less than the ideal sum 720°. Now, we may assume that the combination is safe within the acceptable limits.

Triple combinations of four stars with projected angles give these results:

Ald - Reg - Ant

359° 56' 48" - 0° 03' 12" 0.01 % passed
Ald - Reg - Fom 351° 56' 27" - 8° 03' 33" 2.24 % passed
Ald - Ant - Fom 360° 00' 00" 0° 00' 00" 0.00 % passed
Reg - Ant - Fom 360° 00' 00" 0° 00' 00" 0.00 % passed
Total 1431° 53' 15" - 8° 06' 45" 0.56 % passed

Binary combinations of four stars with projected angles give these results:

Ald - Reg 80° 02' 26" - 9° 57' 34" 11.07 % failed
Ald - Ant 179° 58' 24" - 0° 01' 36" 0.01 % passed
Ald - Fom 95° 55' 47" + 5° 55' 47" 6.59 % passed
Reg - Ant 99° 55' 58" + 9° 55' 58" 11.04 % failed
Reg - Fom 175° 58' 14" - 4° 01' 46" 2.24 % passed
Ant - Fom 84° 05' 49" - 5° 54' 11" 6.56 % passed
Total 715° 56' 37" - 4° 03' 23" 0.56 % passed

Binary list is indicating that irregularity caused mostly by the position of Regulus (32.5 %), and of Aldebaran (23.6 %), and Antares (23.5 %), and Fomalhaut (20.5 %). But, triple list indicators are showing that the most unbalanced position has the star Regulus (33.3 %), Aldebaran (33.3 %), and Fomalhaut (33.1 %), and then Antares (0.2 %). When both combinations are merged, irregularity percentages become like this: Regulus (32.9 %), Aldebaran (28.4 %), Fomalhaut (26.8 %), and Antares (11.8 %).

Conclusion of Part One

In our day, it seems hardly possible to regard these four stars as the cardinal ones, which are supposed to hold the four corners of the heaven. Because, neither the true angular distances nor the separations on the ecliptic plane are verifying this assumption. Especially, the position of Regulus is quite astray than the expected point. The next one, which does not fit to the combination is Fomalhaut. Here we have a shifted Regulus-Fomalhaut axis, preventing us to believe in the cardinality of these stars. It seems that there is a trace of dispersion with the present fringe of the combination.

But, before jumping into conclusions, it may be wise to consider the wanted configuration some time out of our era. Because, during long intervals of time, the positions of the stars are changing, due to secular movements. And the components of the shifted axis are the most fast moving objects among these four.

 If we just take a glance at the total proper motions of these stars, the sequence may give some idea to us: Fomalhaut 371", Regulus 249", Aldebaran 198", and Antares 24" in one thousand years. When we compare the angular distances with the directions of these motions, a rough estimation gives a clue about the possibility of a more fitting configuration, not today but some 70,000 years ago!

On the left is the schematic representation of the present positions of four stars, projected on the equatorial plane. Angles are showing the present deviations from quadrants based on the position of Aldebaran, and the arrows are showing the direction of the movement of the stars when we go back in time, with angular speeds reduced to the equatorial plane, in terms of right ascension as arcseconds per thousand years.

Second part of this article will let you to examine the existence of such a possibility, in numbers and graphics.

                


References:

[1] Bretagnon, P. et al.: 2003, "Expressions for Precession Consistent with the IAU 2000A Model". A&A 400,785

[2] "Star-Names and Their Meanings" by R. H. Allen - Stechert - 1899

[3] "Die Anfänge der Astronomie" by B.L. Van der Waerden - Groningen - 1966

[4] I/239 The Hipparcos & Tycho Catalogues - ESA, 1997.

[5] I/266 Proper Motions of Fundamental Stars - Gontcharov, 2001.

[6] I/196 Hipparcos Input Catalogue, 2nd version - Turon, 1993.


Copyright © 2004-2008 Haluk Akcam. All rights reserved.

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